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Global warming: The world has 50-50 chance to reach 1.5C soon

Global warming: The world has 50-50 chance to reach 1.5C soon

A schoolgirl holds an umbrella and covers herself with a scarf as protection from the sun

There is an almost 50% chance that the global annual average temperature will increase by 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) in the 2022-2026 period, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Monday.

The WMO stated that this does not mean that the temperature will always be that high. 

The prediction is a warning that human activity could lead to this prediction. Global warmingIf greenhouse gas emissions are not reduced, they will rise to unlivable levels in the near future.

What did the meteorologists have to say?

There is a 48% chance that the globe will reach a yearly average of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels at least once between now and 2026, the WMO said. Its update drew on data from 11 different forecast centers around the world. 

Last year, the same forecasters put the chances of this happening at closer to 40%.

The WMO also said there was a 93% chance that the world would experience its hottest year ever recorded by the end of 2026. It said it was equally likely that 2022 to 2026 will have a higher average temperature than the previous five years.

What effect could 1.5C temperature increase have?

2016 was the hottest global year so far.When the average temperature was about 1.2 C above preindustrial levels. Last year’s global average temperature was 1.1 C higher than those levels, the WMO’s preliminary report shows.

A major United Nations science report in 2018 predicted that warming in excess of 1.5 C could have It has devastating effects on life on the planet.

The landmark Paris climate agreement of 2015 aims to limit permanent global warming to well below 2 C and preferably below 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels.

Already, the world is witnessing weather phenomena consistent with climate scientists’ warming predictions. Major ice melt at the polesThere are more severe weather events, such as flooding and hurricanes, than usual.

The next world world climate conference, COP27, is set to take place in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, in November.

tj/rt (dpa, AP)

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