There is an almost 50% chance that the global annual average temperature will increase by 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) in the 2022-2026 period, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Monday.
The WMO stated that this does not mean that the temperature will always be that high.
The prediction is a warning that human activity could lead to this prediction. Global warmingIf greenhouse gas emissions are not reduced, they will rise to unlivable levels in the near future.
What did the meteorologists have to say?
There is a 48% chance that the globe will reach a yearly average of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels at least once between now and 2026, the WMO said. Its update drew on data from 11 different forecast centers around the world.
Last year, the same forecasters put the chances of this happening at closer to 40%.
The WMO also said there was a 93% chance that the world would experience its hottest year ever recorded by the end of 2026. It said it was equally likely that 2022 to 2026 will have a higher average temperature than the previous five years.
What effect could 1.5C temperature increase have?
2016 was the hottest global year so far.When the average temperature was about 1.2 C above preindustrial levels. Last year’s global average temperature was 1.1 C higher than those levels, the WMO’s preliminary report shows.
A major United Nations science report in 2018 predicted that warming in excess of 1.5 C could have It has devastating effects on life on the planet.
The landmark Paris climate agreement of 2015 aims to limit permanent global warming to well below 2 C and preferably below 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels.
Already, the world is witnessing weather phenomena consistent with climate scientists’ warming predictions. Major ice melt at the polesThere are more severe weather events, such as flooding and hurricanes, than usual.
The next world world climate conference, COP27, is set to take place in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, in November.
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Images: India is scorching as a severe heat wave sweeps the region
Country experiences skyrocketing temperatures
To protect herself from sunburn, a girl wears sunglasses, a mask, and a long, cloth umbrella on her way to school in Prayagraj. The average maximum temperature in April was 35.9 Celsius in northwest India and 37.78 Celsius in central India, respectively. This is the highest recorded average temperature since records began being kept by the Indian Meteorological Department 122 years ago.
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In photos: India heats up as a severe heatwave sweeps the region
Splashing in Ganges
To beat the heat, a boy jumps into Ganges River under Kolkata’s Howrah Bridge. Experts predict that the heat wave will intensify as temperatures in north India could reach 50 degrees. These areas are characterized by May being the “hottest” month of the year according to weather trends.
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In photos: India heats up as a severe heatwave sweeps the region
Long power outages can make it difficult to live.
As he waits for his customer, a boy stands outside a juice shop. A power crisis in India has caused hours-long power outages for millions of Indians, accompanied by unusually hot temperatures. While some critics have accused government of mismanagement due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, the steep rise of imported coal prices has also had an impact.
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In photos: India heats up as severe heat waves sweep the region
Changes in the weather
In this photo, people are seen trying to fill water tanks at a municipal tanker in Kolkata. India’s summer season begins in April and runs until early July. Numerous people are regularly killed by heatstroke or gastrointestinal infections. Experts say the heat wave this year arrived in March, as predicted by the rise in summer temperatures.
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In photos: India heats up as a severe heatwave sweeps the region
There is no escape from the heat
A group of women enjoy a milk-based frozen delight called “kulfi” in Amritsar, Punjab. The state’s chief Minister has extended summer vacations to all schools in response to the intense heat wave that is ravaging the border state. Pakistan is also facing increased temperatures across the border.
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Images: India heats up as a severe heatwave sweeps the region
Return to tried remedies
These are the people who buy cold sugarcane juice from a roadside stand in Amritsar, north. Many people are returning to old-fashioned ways of staying cool when power cuts disrupt their lives. They can drink cooling drinks with sugarcane, khus, and store water in earthen pots.
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Images: India heats up as a severe heatwave sweeps the region
There is no respite for the days ahead
A man relaxes under a tree in Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh. Temperatures reached 45 degrees Celsius (113 Fahrenheit) at several locations in April. Banda, Uttar Pradesh, was the country’s hottest spot with a temperature of 47.4° Celsius (117.32° Fahrenheit).
tj/rt (dpa, AP)