Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have an energy and environmental problem. But if done right, it might be possible to channel all that energy into something good for the planet.
Cryptos environmental troubles
A fierce debate around the environmental impacts of cryptocurrencies, like bitcoin, is growing. Bitcoin does consume a lot of energy. That energy use is growing and annually consumes as much energy as whole nations, such as Finland, Malaysia, or Sweden. While bitcoin is not the only industry to consume as much energy as entire countries, e.g. concrete consumes more energy than India, the energy both sectors consume comes with associated pollution, including carbon emissions.
Even transactions with bitcoin use a lot of energy, with the average transaction consuming over 1,700 kWh of electricity, which is almost twice the monthly amount used by the average U.S. home. However, there was ways to transact in bitcoin using much less energy.
Exacerbating this problem, some bitcoin mining operations have teamed up with struggling fossil fuel power plants, keeping some power plants online that would otherwise have retired, increasing overall carbon emissions. Some utilities have even gotten into the bitcoin game directly.
Large bitcoin mining operations are also moving locations as China, the country previously with the largest bitcoin mining industry, recently banned both cryptocurrency mining and transactions. This change has bitcoin mining operations moving to places like Texas and potentially Alberta, Canada.
All else equal, bitcoin operations that co-locate and utilize fossil fuels that would have otherwise stayed in the ground will increase emissions.
Some are considering using stranded natural gas that would otherwise have been flared, which, absent any methane venting and flaring regulations, would make the use of the natural gas for bitcoin, at-best, carbon neutral. However, it is a stretch, and making the natural gas more valuable at the wellhead could further dissuade pipeline development that would have moved the gas to market.
However, co-locating bitcoin mining operations with zero-carbon resources, such as nuclear, hydro, wind and solar, could help reduce the carbon emissions associated with the mining itself. Co-location could also give a financial boost to power plants that might be able to sell their electricity at a higher price to miners instead of to the grid when demand and prices are low. This type of hybrid power plant/mine might even make uneconomical projects economical.
Going further, it is also possible that the bitcoin mines themselves could offer benefits directly to the grid, and, if operated intelligently, even result in lower overall carbon emissions.
A positive grid impact?
A new report, commissioned by Lancium, and, full disclosure, written by the author of this article, shows how large flexible loads, like datacenters or bitcoin mines, could be useful to the grid, if operated in an intelligent way.
The study simulated the evolution of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the grid that serves most of Texas, out to 2030 under multiple scenarios: 1) a base case with no datacenter/bitcoin mining expansion, 2) a case with 5 GW of inflexible (always on) datacenter/bitcoin mines by 2030, 3) a scenario with 5 GW of mildly flexible datacenters deployed by 2030 and 4) a scenario with 5 GW of very flexible datacenters deployed by 2030.
The non-flexible scenario added a significant baseload to the ERCOT system. This growth resulted in the deployment of more power plant capacity that the base case, including more wind, natural gas, and solar. This increased energy use also resulted in an additional 7.9 million metric tons of carbon emissions over the base case by 2030.
However, the flexible scenarios were more interesting. Both flexible scenarios actually see more wind and less natural gas deployed than both the base case and the inflexible scenarios. This change is because the datacenters/mines were programed to reduce their energy consumption by certain percentages when electricity prices hit certain tiers. In total, the third scenario saw the datacenters/mines curtailing their load about 14% of the year.
The flexibility of the datacenters/mines in the latter two scenarios allowed the model to deploy different levels of technologies than the base or inflexible case. The model actually built more renewables because it could utilize the flexibility of the datacenters/mines to compensate for fluctuations in renewable output. This flexibility also resulted in lower carbon emissions compared to the base case.
For additional load to result in lower total carbon emissions, the additional energy consumption must be offset by more zero-carbon energy. In the flexible datacenter/mine cases, the amount of energy generated from wind and solar was more than in the base case and the amount generated from natural gas was lower.
In general, the flexibility of the datacenters/mines moves their load to more value energy over power, which better aligns with renewables. This is because renewables are great at providing large amounts of energy, but have less ability to always provide capacity, or constant power.
In concept, flexible datacenters/mines are similar to the electrification of transportation or heating with the ability to control then times when the chargers and heaters operate. However, it is likely that datacenters/mines could offer large levels of flexible load concentrated in a smaller number of locations, which could make their administration easier.
Grid decarbonization studies often assume high levels of flexible demand, and often much of this flexibility comes from diffuse sources, such as smart thermostats and EV charging. While this analysis did not seek to satisfy any carbon policy, it does illustrate the potential carbon benefits of high levels of flexible demand coupled with an electricity market that is able to incorporate it.
Mining and transacting cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, do present energy and emissions challenges, but new research shows that there are possible pathways to mitigate some of these issues if cryptocurrency miners are willing to operate in a way to compliment the deployment of more low-carbon energy.
The author of this post does not currently own or mine any cryptocurrencies.