Hemingways’ The Sun Also Rises is famously quoted as a line in which a character is asked how he went bankrupt. He replied: In two ways, first slowly, then suddenly.
This is a great example of compounding interest in finance. It is also a good description of the S-Curve seen in technological innovation adoption. In this case, growth of a technology is usually slow, boring, and then suddenly explodes into exponential growth. Many geopolitical trends can also be described as “gradually then suddenly”. We have all been following the decline of China’s economy. Then suddenly, their GDP is falling. Slowly, we began to see Russia threatening to invade Ukraine. Then suddenly, the invasion few expected occurs.
All of this creates a highly volatile business environment. Executives need to be aware of the situation to make informed operational decisions.
OODA’s leadership maintains an up to date C-Suite ReportIt tracks the most important issues and makes recommendations for strategic action to minimize risk and capitalize on opportunities. The most recent edition of this Report provides an overall assessment and then dives in to:
- What great power competition means to your business
- The Russian invasion and impact on Ukraine and Europe.
- China’s economic outlook is grim and the impact on the business environment
- Networked Extremism, Insurgency, and Corruption
- Geopolitics is driven by increasing food security
- The Demographic Time Bomb
- New risks and opportunities in an age of converged technology
- Automation, new sensors and communications
- Uncertainties in computer chip supply chain
- The need to optimize small data and reduce the cost of training machine learning (ML) and improve NLP
- The future metaverse and its potential disruption to the Internet
- Unstoppable Bitcoin
- Cyber and geopolitical risk
- Ransomware on the Rise
- What should businesses do to address cyber risk?
- Scenario planning can be used to reduce risk, find opportunities, and inform business strategies
- Your strategy for the US drought is up-to-date
- Reshoring Accelerating
These big trends are grouped into Geopolitical Issues and Technology Trends. Cyber Risk Issues are also included. We offer recommendations for action.
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