United States:
The Latest IPCC Report How Are We Doing On Mitigation?
13 April 2022
Foley Hoag LLP
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Earlier this month, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change released Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate
Change. As all IPCC reports are, it’s a serious piece
of work and not easily summarized at blog length. Nonetheless, here
are some of what seemed to me to be important takeaways:
- Firstly, and most importantly, we’re not doing a very good
job at mitigating greenhouse gas emissions. I suspect that, if one
asked the average American whether GHG emissions increased or
decreased from 2010 to 2019, they would say that emissions
decreased. Sadly, that’s not the case. GHG emissions in 2019
were 12% higher in 2019 than 2010. The best we can say is that the
rate of increase has slowed. (In case you didn’t know,
that’s not good enough!)
- It is still possible to meet the Paris target of no more than
1.5 degrees Celsius increase in global temperature, but the level
of commitment that will be required to meet that target will be, as
they say, ginormous.
- We’re almost certainly going to have to spend money pulling
carbon from the atmosphere. I’ve always been skeptical of
carbon removal technologies, other than land management, but going
there is probably unavoidable at this point.
- For the first time, the IPCC discusses climate litigation as a
mitigation tool. My friend @MichaelGerrard describes this as the
IPCC “saying that we need to deploy all the tools in the
toolbox, and litigation has definitely become one of them.”
That may be, but I worry that IPCC discussion of litigation will
just be used by opponents to delegitimize the IPCC. I think it
might be better for the IPCC to stick to the science and technology
of mitigation.
Any way you look at it, the IPCC report makes sobering reading.
The task will be Herculean and time is growing short.
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