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Climate change: The world’s chances of exceeding 1.5C of warming within the next 50 years are 50/50

Climate change: The world’s chances of exceeding 1.5C of warming within the next 50 years are 50/50

The report states that exceeding the limit is likely to be temporary — temperatures may drop again — but science has shown that even temporary overshoots could lead to severe consequences. Unversible changesAll the best for the planet.

The report warns that at most one year between 2022-2026 will exceed the 1.5C mark, and that 93% of the time this period will be the warmest on record. It is almost certain that the next five year will be hotter on average than the previous five.

In 2015, there was little chance that world temperatures would temporarily exceed 1.5C for the next five year. These odds have been increasing ever since, as humans continue to emit greenhouse gases, primarily through the use fossil fuels.

Scientists warn that the world must limit global warming to 1.5C above temperatures before industrialization in order to avoid more severe consequences of the climate crisis. The Paris Agreement, which aims to limit temperature rise to 2C but preferably 1.5C, was signed by the majority of the world’s population in 2015.

The world is already at minimum It is now 1.1 degrees Celsius warmer that it was before industrialization.

UN report on climate crisis confirms the world already has solutions -- but politics are getting in the wayUN report on climate crisis confirms the world already has solutions -- but politics are getting in the way
“This study shows, with a high level scientific skill, that we are measurably closer temporarily to reaching the lower target of The Paris Agreement“on Climate Change,” WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas stated in a statement accompanying Global Annual to Decadal Climate Updat.

“The 1.5°C figure is not some random statistic,” he added. It is a sign of when climate impacts will become more harmful to people and the planet.

A authoritative climate report was published in February by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) stated that some of these changes could result from the planet heating up to 1.5 degrees Celsius. This could even be permanent, even if the planet cools back down.

Even at 1.5C many coral reefs in the world will disappear, and permafrost may reach a tipping level in certain places. Permafrost (permanently) frozen ground that lies below much of the Arctic. It keeps large amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) in reserve. It melts in warmer temperatures and releases CO2, which can contribute to climate change.

“A single year of exceedance above 1.5°C does not mean we have breached the iconic threshold of the Paris Agreement,” said Leon Hermanson from the UK’s Met Office, which led the report, “but it does reveal that we are edging ever closer to a situation where 1.5 °C could be exceeded for an extended period.”

Workers use their helmets to pour water to cool themselves down as a heatwave rages in IndiaWorkers use their helmets to pour water to cool themselves down as a heatwave rages in India
The WMO report was released on the heels India and Pakistan are experiencing heatwavesExperts were skeptical about the human ability to survive in such extreme temperatures.
The largest man-made reservoir in the US is — Lake Mead — Has been seen Water levels plunge to an unimaginable lowOver the past two months. Millions of people in California, Nevada, and Arizona depend on Mead for their water supply.

In California, which is entirely in drought conditions, two of the state’s largest reservoirs — Shasta Lake and Lake Oroville — are at “critically low levels,” according to the US Drought Monitor.

The two largest reservoirs in California are already at 'critically low levels' and the dry season is just startingThe two largest reservoirs in California are already at 'critically low levels' and the dry season is just starting
The lake’s water levels are falling because of a climate-change-fueled megadrought in America West. A study published by Nature Climate ChangeThe dry period 2000-2021 was the hottest in the area in 1,200 years.

Taalas stated, “For as long we continue to release greenhouse gases, temperatures are going to continue to rise.”

“And alongside this, our oceans continue to become warmer, more acidic, sea-ice and glaciers continue to melt, sea levels will continue increasing, and our weather to become more extreme.” Arctic warming is extremely high. What happens in the Arctic impacts all of us.

See Also

Glacier and ice sheet melt in the ArcticIt will lead to Sea level rise at an accelerated paceThis could lead to irreversible damage for centuries and be catastrophic for the planet as extreme flooding risks increase.

Andrew King, a University of Melbourne Lecturer in Climate Science, said the report highlights how fast humans are warming our planet.

“Our greenhouse gas emission are still at near record highs, and until we get them down to net zero, we’re going continue to see global heating,” he stated.

Net zero is a state in which the world reduces its greenhouse gas emission as much as possible and offsets any that are difficult to avoid. This can be achieved through technology or tree-planting to capture carbon dioxide.

King said, “If we don’t take that action, we will have much more heatwaves and bushfire situations as well as coral reefs which have been decimated beyond all recognition.”

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