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Driverless cars are not good for the environment if it leads to more auto use
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Driverless cars are not good for the environment if it leads to more auto use

A car approaches an overhead billboard displaying time of day and prices for cars and trucks to enter the regulated zone.
Self-driving cars technology has been elusively at the horizon for years. Bold predictions asideFully automated vehicles have yet to make their way into showrooms. However, technology looks poised to make a big leap in 2022.

Companies that include Mercedes-Benz, BMW HondaLevel 3 AVs, which allow drivers to take the wheel under certain conditions, are being introduced to market by automakers.

Automated vehicles have great potential. Vehicles that can be automated You can handle most, if not all, of the driving tasksCould be safer than human drivers, operate more efficiently, and offer new opportunities for seniors, disabled people, and others who are unable to drive. While attention is understandable, Safety firstThe potential environmental effects of automated vehicles have been largely ignored.

We study Automated vehicle technology How consumers will likely use them. Our research teams discovered two innovative ways to assess the real-life effects that automated vehicles could have upon the environment in two recent studies.

We were able to analyze the driving habits of partially-automated vehicles and simulate the impact of future driverless vehicles. Our results showed that both types of automated vehicles will encourage more driving. This will increase transportation-related pollution and traffic congestion, unless regulators take steps to make car travel less appealing.

More miles equals more carbon emissions

Research has shown that automated vehicles could make people drive more than they actually do. More congestion, more energy consumption, and more pollution. It is much easier to ride in a car as a passenger than driving. This means that people may be more willing and able to take longer trips and fight more traffic if there are other activities they can do during the trip. A comfortable, relaxed commute to work could encourage people to move further from their workplaces and help accelerate suburban sprawl trends.

People would also be able to send their cars on “zero occupancy” trips. This allows them to run errands and not have passengers. If you don’t want to pay for parking downtown you might be able to send the car home while you are at work and have it summoned when you need it. It’s convenient, but it also doubles the driving.

This could pose a problem. Already, the transportation sector is The United States is the largest contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. California and other states that have aggressive plans to combat climate changes, such as California, have acknowledged this. Reduce the number of miles people drive in their vehiclesThis is a crucial strategy. What if automated vehicle technology makes these goals more difficult?

The real-world environmental impact of automated cars

We and other researchers have These outcomes could be predicted using modelingThey are not yet commercially available, so no one has been capable of verifying them. Two innovative methods were found to examine the real-world impact of automated vehicles.

In a study published mid-2021, 940 respondents were surveyed. Autonomous drivers. Systems like Teslas AutopilotCan assist with driving tasks, and reduce the driving burden, but to a lesser extent than fully automated vehicles.

Autopilot users drove an average driving time of 2. They travelled nearly 5,000 more miles annually than those who did not.. 36 partially automated vehicle drivers were interviewed and stated that they were more willing than ever to travel long distances and would sit more often in traffic. Increased comfort and lower stressSemi-automated systems provide this service.

In a separate study that was conducted in late 2019/early 2020, we also simulate the functioning of a fully automated vehicle. 43 households were provided with a chauffeur service and tracked how they used it. These households They increased their vehicle mileage by 60 percentThey travelled significantly less than before they were chauffeured and walked a lot more. More than half the increase in vehicle travel was due to chauffeurs taking zero-occupancy trips, without any household members.

Automatic car use is a way to reduce pollution

These results show that automated vehicles will encourage more driving in the future, and that partially-automated vehicles are already doing so. Is there a way to reap the benefits of automated vehicles without making climate change, air pollution, and congestion worse?

Future automated vehicles should use zero-emission technology As California is doingThis can be a huge help. However, the U.S. will not develop this technology until then. 100 percent emission-free electricityEven electric cars can emit some upstream emissions due to power generation. All car travel is harmful Other harmful effectsWater and air pollution due to tire and brake wear, collisions and wildlife encounters, and traffic congestion.

To stop an explosion in driving and the associated harms, regulators need to signal to communities that driving isn’t free. They could set a price for car travel, particularly on zero-occupancy trip.

To stop an explosion in driving and the associated harms, regulators must send signals to communities that driving is not free.

These are the main policies that have an effect today. Federal and state fuel taxesThey currently average 49 cents per gallons for gasoline and 55 for diesel fuel. With the widespread adoption of electric vehicles, the impact of fuel tax on drivers behavior will decrease. This means that the transportation industry will need to create new funding mechanisms for ongoing expenses such as road maintenance.

Instead of fuel taxes, the federal and state governments could impose user fees or charges for the mileage that drivers drive. Correctly pricing private vehicle travel can encourage travelers to look into other, more cost-effective modes of travel, such as walking and bicycling.

These fees can be adjusted depending on where you are, for example, by charging more to drive in densely populated areas or other factors like time of day, traffic congestion levels and vehicle occupancy. Modern communication technologies allow for such policies by tracking the location and time of cars on the roads.

A car approaches an overhead billboard displaying time of day and prices for cars and trucks to enter the regulated zone.
Singapore uses electronic road pricing in order to reduce congestion and regulate traffic flow. The cost of entering the restricted zone varies depending on where you are and when you go. Calvin Chan Wai Meng via Getty Images

Another option is to promote shared fleets rather than privately-owned automated vehicles. These vehicles could be viewed as commercial companies similar to Uber, Lyft, and other ride-sharing services. It could be possible to have a car on demand and serve travel demand more efficiently. These networks could also be used to help riders access fixed-route public transport services that operate along main transportation corridors.

All of these policies are most effective if adopted before automated vehicles become commonplace. We believe that a transportation future that is automated and electric, shared, and shared, could be environmentally sustainable. However, we don’t think it will evolve in that way.

This article has been republished from The ConversationUnder a Creative Commons licence

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